Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Runs per game?

David Pinto, at Baseball Musings, is doing his spring analysis of how many runs per game each team may do, based on all kinds of cool math stuff.

Because the heart of Detroit's line up is playing for Venezuela right now we can't really get a good read for how they are doing. Thankfully Mr. Pinto is going to help us out with that...

  • Best lineup: 5.16 runs per game
  • Probable lineup: 5.08 runs per game
  • Worst lineup: 4.78 runs per game
  • Regressed lineup: 4.70 runs per game

The Tigers scored 5.07 runs per game in 2008.
So about the same as last year. Perhaps the doom and gloom about Everett's bat is unnecessary? It looks that way.

How about the rest of the division?

White Sox:

  • Best lineup: 5.30 runs per game
  • Probable lineup: 5.17 runs per game
  • Worst lineup: 4.96 runs per game
  • Regressed lineup: 4.76 runs per game

The White Sox scored 4.98 runs per game in 2008.

Indians:

  • Best lineup: 5.55 runs per game
  • Probable lineup: 5.49 runs per game
  • Worst lineup: 5.34 runs per game
  • Regressed lineup: 4.95 runs per game

The Indians scored 4.97 runs per game in 2008.

Twins:

  • Best lineup: 5.13 runs per game
  • Probable lineup: 5.05 runs per game
  • Worst lineup: 4.73 runs per game
  • Regressed lineup: 4.68 runs per game

The Twins scored 5.09 runs per game in 2008.

The Royals aren't done yet. I still think they may not be push overs this year (actually, they weren't last year at all- does 0-7 ring any bells?)

Based on this no one will dominate the AL Central this season with their bats. Pitching and defense win the games.

BTW: If you are inclined, David Pinto is running his annual fund drive. Support him if you can. He always has interesting stuff from all over baseball.


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